2022 Oscars Final Winner Predictions

What once seemed to be a pretty predictable night has quickly turned into chaos, per usual. I think the actor winners, aside from Actress, are pretty much locked up, and you know what, good. If this is our quartet of winners, what an amazing, diverse, and deserving lineup this would be. Jane Campion has basically locked up her director win with a lock and key and thrown it to the bottom of the ocean. Even last year’s race never seemed this locked up.

Best Picture, which seemed locked up almost a week ago, is now a true two-way race between the lighthearted CODA and the much darker The Power of the Dog.

The rest of my predictions can be found below – I know that’s what you’re looking at anyway – make sure to tell me where I’m wrong and where I’m right.

The Oscars will be Sunday, March 27 @ 8PM ET

*Indicates winner

Picture

Nominees:

1. Winner: CODA – GG, CCA, SAG*, PGA*
2. THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG*, CCA*, PGA, BAFTA*
3. KING RICHARD – GG, CCA, SAG, PGA
4. BELFAST – GG, CCA, SAG, PGA, BAFTA
5. WEST SIDE STORY – GG*, CCA, PGA
6. DUNE – GG, CCA, PGA, BAFTA
7. LICORICE PIZZA – GG, CCA, PGA, BAFTA
8. NIGHTMARE ALLEY – CCA
9. DRIVE MY CAR
10. DON’T LOOK UP – GG, CCA, SAG, PGA, BAFTA

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Director

Nominees:

1. Winner: Jane Campion, THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG*, DGA*, BAFTA*
2. Steven Spielberg, WEST SIDE STORY – GG, CCA, DGA
3. Kenneth Branaugh, BELFAST – GG, CCA, DGA
4. Paul Thomas Anderson, LICORICE PIZZA – CCA, DGA, BAFTA
5. Ryusuke Hamaguchi, DRIVE MY CAR – BAFTA

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Actor

Nominees:

1. Winner: Will Smith, KING RICHARD – GG*, CCA*, SAG*, BAFTA*
2. Benedict Cumberbatch, THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
3. Andrew Garfield, TICK, TICK… BOOM! – GG*, CCA, SAG
4. Denzel Washington, THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH – GG, CCA, SAG
5. Javier Bardem, BEING THE RICARDOS – GG, SAG

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Actress

Nominees:

1. Winner: Jessica Chastain, THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE – GG, CCA*, SAG*
2. Kristen Stewart, SPENCER – GG, CCA
3. Penelope Cruz, PARALLEL MOTHERS
4. Nicole Kidman, BEING THE RICARDOS – GG*, CCA, SAG
5. Olivia Colman, THE LOST DAUGHTER – GG, CCA, SAG

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Supporting Actor

Nominees:

1. Winner: Troy Kotsur, CODA – GG, CCA*, SAG*, BAFTA*
2. Kodi Smit-McPhee, THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG*, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
3. Jesse Plemons, THE POWER OF THE DOG – BAFTA
4. Ciaran Hinds, BELFAST – GG, CCA, BAFTA
5. J.K. Simmons, BEING THE RICARDOS – CCA

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Supporting Actress

Nominees:

1. Winner: Ariana DeBose, WEST SIDE STORY – GG*, CCA*, SAG*, BAFTA*
2. Kirsten Dunst, THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG, CCA, SAG
3. Aunjanue Ellis, KING RICHARD – GG, CCA, BAFTA
4. Jessie Buckley, THE LOST DAUGHTER – BAFTA
5. Judi Dench, Belfast

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Original Screenplay

Nominees:

1. Winner: BELFAST – GG*, CCA*, BAFTA
2. LICORICE PIZZA – GG, CCA, BAFTA*, WGA
3. KING RICHARD – CCA, BAFTA, WGA
4. THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD
5. DON’T LOOK UP – GG, CCA, BAFTA, WGA*

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Adapted Screenplay

Nominees:

1. Winner: CODA – CCA, BAFTA*, WGA*
2. THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG, CCA, BAFTA, USC
3. DRIVE MY CAR – BAFTA
4. THE LOST DAUGHTER – CCA, BAFTA, USC*
5. DUNE – CCA, BAFTA, USC, WGA

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Cinematography

Nominees:

1. Winner: THE POWER OF THE DOG – ASC, BAFTA
2. DUNE – ASC*, BAFTA*
3. THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH – ASC, BAFTA
4. NIGHTMARE ALLEY – ASC, BAFTA
5. WEST SIDE STORY

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Editing

Nominees:

1. Winner: TICK, TICK… BOOM! – ACE*
2. KING RICHARD – ACE*
3. DUNE – ACE, BAFTA
4. THE POWER OF THE DOG – ACE
5. DON’T LOOK UP – ACE

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Costume Design

Nominees:

1. Winner: CRUELLA – CDG*, BAFTA*
2. DUNE – CDG, BAFTA
3. WEST SIDE STORY – CDG
4. NIGHTMARE ALLEY – CDG, BAFTA
5. CYRANO – CDG, BAFTA

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Makeup & Hairstyling

Nominees:

1. Winner: COMING 2 AMERICA
2. THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE – BAFTA*
3. DUNE – BAFTA
4. CRUELLA – BAFTA
5. HOUSE OF GUCCI – BAFTA

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Production Design

Nominees:

1. Winner: NIGHTMARE ALLEY – ADG*, BAFTA
2. DUNE – ADG, CCA, BAFTA*
3. WEST SIDE STORY – BAFTA
4. THE POWER OF THE DOG
5. THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH

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Original Score

Nominees:

1. Winner: DUNE – GG*, CCA*, BAFTA*
2. THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG, CCA, BAFTA
3. DON’T LOOK UP – CCA, BAFTA
4. PARALLEL MOTHERS – GG
5. ENCANTO – GG

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Original Song

Nominees:

1. Winner: NO TIME TO DIE – GG*, CCA*
2. ENCANTO – GG, CCA
3. KING RICHARD – GG, CCA
4. FOUR GOOD DAYS
5. BELFAST – GG

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Sound

Nominees:

1. Winner: DUNE – BAFTA*, CAS*
2. WEST SIDE STORY – BAFTA, CAS
3. NO TIME TO DIE – BAFTA, CAS
4. THE POWER OF THE DOG – CAS
5. BELFAST

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Visual Effects

Nominees:

1. Winner: DUNE – CC*, BAFTA*, VES*
2. SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME – VES
3. SHANG-CHI AND THE LEGEND OF THE TEN RINGS – CC, VES
4. NO TIME TO DIE – CC, BAFTA, VES
5. FREE GUY – BAFTA

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Animated Feature

Nominees:

1. Winner: ENCANTO – GG*, CCA, PGA*, BAFTA*
2. MITCHELLS VS. THE MACHINES – CCA*, PGA, BAFTA
3. LUCA – GG, CCA, PGA, BAFTA
4. FLEE – GG, CCA, BAFTA
5. RAYA AND THE LAST DRAGON – GG, CCA, PGA

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Documentary

1. Winner: SUMMER OF SOUL – BAFTA*
2. FLEE – BAFTA
3. ATTICA
4. ASCENSION
5. WRITING WITH FIRE

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International Feature

Nominees:

1. Winner: DRIVE MY CAR – GG*, CCA*, BAFTA*
2. THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD – CCA, BAFTA
3. THE HAND OF GOD – GG, CCA, BAFTA
4. FLEE – CCA
5. LUNANA: A YAK IN THE CLASSROOM

Jacob is a Graduate of Western Kentucky University where he earned a History/Film Studies Degree. He is a film critic and co-founder of the Music City Drive-In. He is also a member of the North American Film Critics Association and the Music City Film Critics’ Association. You can find him on Twitter @Tberry57.