Week 4 of the NFL season kicks off with a battle of AFC North foes. The Steelers and Browns both come in off big wins, both sitting at 2-1, and both looking to take an early lead in the division. But there can be only one winner.

The Steelers’ offense has been a work-in-progress. It was practically non-existent in Week 2, but the team exploded for 30 points against the Bengals in Week 3. The Browns, meanwhile, got off to an ice-cold start in Jacksonville but Deshaun Watson has gotten it going in the past two weeks, both wins. This game could be a defensive struggle, or more of a shootout. But right now, I’m leaning toward a low-scoring slog.

For the Steelers, I like Jaylen Warren. He showed he was back on track last week, and I think he’s an RB2, especially with Rico Dowdle still banged up. I also have Aaron Rodgers as a low-end QB2. I think he’ll produce some, but it’s not like the old days. Among receivers, there is no one in whom I’m confident. Someone will have a decent game, but I’d rather not play receiver roulette on Thursday night.

For the Browns, Quinshon Judkins has struggled mightily. I am not trusting him to pull out of it here. He’s little more than a low-end flex. Watson has been better than expected, but he’s still a low-end TE2 for me. In the passing game, he’s had a connection with Denzel Boston, who is a flex option for me. But he’s really connected well with Harold Fannin, who is the Brown I’m most bullish on starting.

Now, on to the Week 4 picks.

NFL Picks, Week 4:

Steelers Over Broncos
Colts Over Commanders
Bills Over Patriots
Bears Over Jets
Bengals Over Jaguars
Cardinals Over Giants
Rams Over Eagles
Packers Over Bengals
Ravens Over Titans
Cowboys Over Texans
Vikings Over Dolphins
Raiders Over Steelers
Broncos Over 49ers
Seahawks Over Chargers
Lions Over Panthers
Saints Over Falcons

Last Week: 7-9
Season: 29-19

Matthew Fox is a graduate of the Radio, Television and Film program at Biola University, and a giant nerd. He spends his free time watching movies, TV, and obsessing about football. He is a member of the FSWA. You can find him @knighthawk7734 on Twitter and as co-host of the Fantasy Football Roundtable Podcast.