2022 Oscars Initial Winner Prediction

The 2022 Oscar Nominations are now set in stone, and we have our final look at who will be vying for the little golden statue.

Here are my initial predictions on who I think will be the big winners this Oscar season.

*Indicates winner

Picture

Nominees:

  1. Winner: THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG*, CCA, PGA, BAFTA
  2. BELFASTGG, CCA, SAG, PGA, BAFTA
  3. KING RICHARD – GG, CCA, SAG, PGA
  4. WEST SIDE STORY – GG*, CCA, PGA
  5. CODAGG, CCA, SAG, PGA
  6. DUNEGG, CCA, PGA, BAFTA
  7. LICORICE PIZZA – GG, CCA, PGA, BAFTA
  8. DON’T LOOK UPGG, CCA, SAG, PGA, BAFTA
  9. NIGHTMARE ALLEY – CCA
  10. DRIVE MY CAR

Director

Nominees:

  1. Winner: Jane Campion, THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG*, DGA, BAFTA
  2. Kenneth Branaugh, BELFASTGG, CCA, DGA
  3. Paul Thomas Anderson, LICORICE PIZZACCA, DGA, BAFTA
  4. Steven Spielberg, WEST SIDE STORYGG, CCA, DGA
  5. Ryusuke Hamaguchi, DRIVE MY CAR – BAFTA

Actor

Nominees:

  1. Winner: Will Smith, KING RICHARD – GG*, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
  2. Benedict Cumberbatch, THE POWER OF THE DOGGG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
  3. Andrew Garfield, TICK, TICK… BOOM! – GG*, CCA, SAG
  4. Denzel Washington, THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETHGG, CCA, SAG
  5. Javier Bardem, BEING THE RICARDOSGG, SAG

Actress

Nominees:

  1. Winner: Jessica Chastain, THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE – GG, CCA, SAG
  2. Kristen Stewart, SPENCERGG, CCA
  3. Nicole Kidman, BEING THE RICARDOSGG*, CCA, SAG
  4. Olivia Colman, THE LOST DAUGHTER – GG, CCA, SAG
  5. Penelope Cruz, PARALLEL MOTHERS

Supporting Actor

Nominees:

  1. Winner: Troy Kotsur, CODA – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
  2. Kodi Smit-McPhee, THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG*, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
  3. Ciaran Hinds, BELFAST – GG, CCA, BAFTA
  4. Jesse Plemons, THE POWER OF THE DOG – BAFTA
  5. J.K. Simmons, BEING THE RICARDOS – CCA

Supporting Actress

Nominees:

  1. Winner: Ariana DeBose, WEST SIDE STORY – GG*, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
  2. Judi Dench, Belfast
  3. Kirsten Dunst, THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG, CCA, SAG
  4. Aunjanue Ellis, KING RICHARD – GG, CCA, BAFTA
  5. Jessie Buckley, THE LOST DAUGHTER – BAFTA

Original Screenplay

Nominees:

  1. Winner: LICORICE PIZZA – GG, CCA, BAFTA, WGA
  2. BELFAST – GG*, CCA, BAFTA
  3. DON’T LOOK UP – GG, CCA, BAFTA, WGA
  4. KING RICHARD – CCA, BAFTA, WGA
  5. THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD

Adapted Screenplay

Nominees:

  1. Winner: THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG, CCA, BAFTA, USC
  2. CODA – CCA, BAFTA, WGA
  3. DRIVE MY CARBAFTA
  4. THE LOST DAUGHTER – CCA, BAFTA, USC
  5. DUNE – CCA, BAFTA, USC, WGA

Cinematography

Nominees:

  1. Winner: DUNE – ASC, BAFTA
  2. THE POWER OF THE DOG – ASC, BAFTA
  3. THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH – ASC, BAFTA
  4. NIGHTMARE ALLEY – ASC, BAFTA
  5. WEST SIDE STORY

Editing

Nominees:

  1. Winner: DUNE – ACE, BAFTA
  2. THE POWER OF THE DOG – ACE
  3. KING RICHARD – ACE
  4. TICK, TICK… BOOM! – ACE
  5. DON’T LOOK UP – ACE

Costume Design

Nominees:

  1. Winner: CRUELLA – CDG, BAFTA
  2. DUNE – CDG, BAFTA
  3. WEST SIDE STORY – CDG
  4. NIGHTMARE ALLEY – CDG, BAFTA
  5. CYRANO – CDG, BAFTA

Makeup & Hairstyling

Nominees:

  1. Winner: THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE – BAFTA
  2. DUNE – BAFTA
  3. CRUELLA – BAFTA
  4. HOUSE OF GUCCI – BAFTA
  5. COMING 2 AMERICA

Production Design

Nominees:

  1. Winner: NIGHTMARE ALLEY – BAFTA
  2. DUNE – BAFTA
  3. WEST SIDE STORY – BAFTA
  4. THE POWER OF THE DOG
  5. THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH

Original Score

Nominees:

  1. Winner: DUNE – GG*, CCA, BAFTA
  2. DON’T LOOK UP – CCA, BAFTA
  3. THE POWER OF THE DOG – GG, CCA, BAFTA
  4. PARALLEL MOTHERS – GG
  5. ENCANTO – GG

Original Song

Nominees:

  1. Winner: FOUR GOOD DAYS
  2. NO TIME TO DIE – GG*, CCA
  3. ENCANTO – GG, CCA
  4. KING RICHARD – GG, CCA
  5. BELFAST – GG

Sound

Nominees:

  1. Winner: DUNE – BAFTA, CAS
  2. WEST SIDE STORY – BAFTA, CAS
  3. NO TIME TO DIE – BAFTA, CAS
  4. THE POWER OF THE DOG – CAS
  5. BELFAST

Visual Effects

Nominees:

  1. Winner: DUNE – CC, BAFTA, VES
  2. SHANG-CHI AND THE LEGEND OF THE TEN RINGS – CC, VES
  3. NO TIME TO DIE – CC, BAFTA, VES
  4. SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME – VES
  5. FREE GUY – BAFTA

Animated Feature

Nominees:

  1. Winner: ENCANTO – GG*, CCA, PGA, BAFTA
  2. MITCHELLS VS. THE MACHINESCCA, PGA, BAFTA
  3. LUCAGG, CCA, PGA, BAFTA
  4. FLEEGG, CCA, BAFTA
  5. RAYA AND THE LAST DRAGON – GG, CCA, PGA

Documentary

  1. Winner: SUMMER OF SOUL – BAFTA
  2. ATTICA
  3. ASCENSION
  4. FLEE – BAFTA
  5. WRITING WITH FIRE

International Feature

Nominees:

  1. Winner: DRIVE MY CAR – GG*, CCA, BAFTA
  2. THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD – CCA, BAFTA
  3. THE HAND OF GOD – GG, CCA, BAFTA
  4. FLEE – CCA
  5. LUNANA: A YAK IN THE CLASSROOM

Jacob is a Graduate of Western Kentucky University where he earned a History/Film Studies Degree. He is a film critic and co-founder of the Music City Drive-In. He is also a member of the North American Film Critics Association and the Music City Film Critics’ Association. You can find him on Twitter @Tberry57.

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