FINAL SAG Film Award Predictions – 2023

The 2023 Screen Actors Guild awards take place tomorrow night 8PM EST, 5PM PST or 1AM UK time (gotta show respect to my own people 😉 )

I think we’re all looking to the SAG’s to help wrap up our final Oscar predictions and also looking at the Ensemble award to see if ‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’ is really THAT strong, whether ‘The Banshees of Inisherin’ can have a sudden comeback or if we’ve been underestimating ‘The Fabelmans’ all along.

SAG before have been an excellent predictor for Best Picture in years where we’ve been very on the fence. ‘CODA’, ‘Parasite’, ‘Spotlight’ and ‘Birdman’ are excellent examples of winners that as soon as they won, most of us were deeply considering them to take the big prize come night of the Oscars. Looking back, they’ve also predicted Best Picture winners that at the time seemed like a complete surprise (I’m looking at you, ‘Crash’).

We’re also deeply relying on SAG to secure winners we’re only 50% sure on. Is Austin Butler really stronger then Brendan Fraser? Is Angela Bassett really the front runner or was this really always Kerry Condon’s? Can Michelle Yeoh turn things around last minute or is this just another cake walk for Cate Blanchett?

It’s clear SAG are super important to predictions, but they have got it wrong before. Think to when they didn’t nominated Regina King for her Oscar winning performance in ‘If Beale Street Could Talk’, when they gave Glenn Close Lead Actress for ‘The Wife’ and we all called it a closed race, just for Olivia Colman to swing in and snatch that award from close from the undeniably better performance in ‘The Favourite’. So whilst if we see any upsets it’ll be very tempting and easy to change predictions, just keep these all in mind!

Most of my predictions don’t need much of a justification, we’re all predicting the same things and we all know why, the only prediction I’ll explain is Michelle Yeoh number one over Cate Blanchett who hasn’t lost anywhere yet. It’s a really tough, close one to call! I’ve come to this conclusion for two reasons. 1. I think it’s been a close race all along and I’d like to take the risk and 2. when you really think about it, this is always going to be the ceremony Yeoh has the best shot to win. At Golden Globes Blanchett won Drama Actress, Yeoh Comedy. I think if they were both nominated together Yeoh would have won. GG tend to go for the more emotional performance from the funner movie, they’re not massively for artsy, auteur movies such as ‘TAR’. Critics Choice and BAFTA were both destined to pick Blanchett. They’ve loved her work for years and whilst GG close the door to auteur cinema, for both ceremonies it’s their jam, remember they’re the two big awards ceremonies who awarded ‘Roma’ Best Picture. SAG probably more then any other ceremony value heart over brains. Is ‘TAR’ that movie? NOPE. Is ‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’? ABSO-FU*!ING-LUTELY! If we still think we’re in a season where it’s still a race between Blanchett and Yeoh then you almost have to predict Yeoh to win here, and I’m sticking to my guns and doing just that.

Here are my FINAL predictions for all the SAG Film Categories:

Stunt Ensemble

1. Top Gun: Maverick

2. Avatar: The Way of Water

3. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

4. The Woman King

5. The Batman

Ensemble Cast

1. Everything Everywhere All At Once

2. The Fabelmans

3. The Banshees of Inisherin

4. Women Talking

5. Babylon

Supporting Actress

1. Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

2. Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin

3. Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All At Once

4. Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All At Once

5. Hong Chau – The Whale

Supporting Actor

1. Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All At Once

2. Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin

3. Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin

4. Paul Dano – The Fabelmans

5. Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse

Leading Actress

1. Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All At Once

2. Cate Blanchett – TAR

3. Danielle Deadwyler – Till

4. Viola Davis – The Woman King

5. Ana De Armas – Blonde

Leading Actor

1. Austin Butler – Elvis

2. Brendan Fraser – The Whale

3. Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin

4. Bill Nighy – Living

5. Adam Sandler – Hustle