2023 Oscar Predictions (July)

Halfway through 2022, and I think the Oscar potentials for the 2023 Academy Awards are coming more and more clear.

Though we’re still awaiting some probable juggernauts (Babylon, ‘Flower Moon), most of this year’s releases have been announced (though some like Rustin and Shirley are up in the air i.e. why they’re not very high) and we’ve had our first run of festivals.

What is so interesting is the immense range in cinema this years awards contenders have given us. From Hollywood throwbacks (Babylon & ‘Flower Moon), semi-biographical movies (The Fabelmans & Bardo), modern day true stories (She Said & Thirteen Lives), indie-action (Everything Everywhere’) to massive blockbusters (Top Gun Maverick & Avatar 2). 2020, we were given the international hopeful, 2021 gave us the festival darling, and this year we had the people pleaser, what’s it going to be for 2023?

Best Picture

1 – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

2 – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

3 – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films)

4 – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

5 – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

6 – Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful Truths (Netflix)

7 – Amsterdam (20^th Century Studios)

8 – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)

9 – Decision to Leave (MUBI)

10 – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

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11 – Top Gun Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

12 – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)

13 – Thirteen Lives (Amazon Studios/MGM/UAR)

14 – The Killer (Maybe 2023) (Netflix)

15 – White Noise (Netflix)

16 – Rustin (Maybe 2023) (Netflix)

17 – The Whale (A24)

18 – Cha Cha Real Smooth (Apple Original Films)

19 – Broker (NEON)

20 – The Greatest Beer Run Ever (Apple Original Films)

21 – Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros)

22 – Nope (Universal)

23 – Triangle of Sadness (NEON)

Best Director

1 – Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon

2 – Damien Chazelle – Babylon

3 – Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans

4 – Alejandro G. Iñárritu – Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful Truths

5 – The Daniels – Everything Everywhere All at Once

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6 – Sarah Polley – Women Talking

7 – Sam Mendes – Empire of Light

8 – David O. Russell – Amsterdam

9 – Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave

10 – James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water

Best Actor

1 – Hugh Jackman – The Son

2 – Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon

3 – Brendan Fraser – The Whale

4 – Song Kang-ho – Broker

5 – Adam Driver – White Noise

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6 – Colman Domingo – Rustin (Maybe 2023)

7 – Austin Butler – Elvis

8 – Daniel Giménez Cacho – Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful Truths

9 – Diego Calva – Babylon

10 – Christian Bale – Amsterdam

Best Actress

1 – Margot Robbie – Babylon

2 – Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All At Once

3 – Olivia Colman – Empire of Light

4 – Cate Blanchett – TÁR

5 – Naomie Ackie – I Wanna Dance with Somebody

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6 – Regina King – Shirley (Maybe 2023)

7 – Ana De Armas – Blonde

8 – Viola Davis – The Woman King

9 – Carey Mulligan – She Said (Maybe Supporting)

10 – Danielle Deadwyler – Till

Best Supporting Actor

1 – Jesse Plemons – Killers of the Flower Moon

2 – Brad Pitt – Babylon

3 – Paul Dano – The Fabelmans

4 – Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All At Once  

5 – Seth Rogen – The Fabelmans

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6 – Ben Whishaw – Women Talking

7 – Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon

8 – Colin Farrell – Thirteen Lives

9 – André Holland – Shirley (Maybe 2023)

10 – Ashton Sanders – I Wanna Dance with Somebody

Best Supporting Actress

1 – Jessie Buckley – Women Talking

2 – Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon

3 – Laura Dern – The Son

4 – Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans

5 – Zoe Kazan – She Said (Maybe Lead)

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6 – Vanessa Kirby – The Son

7 – Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All At Once

8 – Patricia Clarkson – She Said

9 – Jean Smart – Babylon

10 – Hong Chau – The Whale

Adapted Screenplay

1 – Killers of the Flower Moon

2 – Women Talking

3 – The Son

4 – I Wanna Dance with Somebody

5 – She Said

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6 – White Noise

7 – The Whale

8 – Till

9 – Poor Things

10 – The Greatest Beer Run Ever

Original Screenplay

1 – Everything Everywhere All At Once

2 – The Fabelmans

3 – Babylon

4 – Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful Truths

5 – Don’t Worry Darling

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6 – Triangle of Sadness

7 – Rustin (Maybe 2023)

8 – TAR

9 – Nope

10 – Cha Cha Real Smooth