Fight Fire with Fliers – Week 13

Fight Fire with Fliers is a weekly fantasy football series that discusses emergency free agent adds or stash candidates for deep rostered or 14-plus team leagues. The post publishes on Saturdays following typical weekly waiver runs, allowing forward thinking managers a last minute opportunity to roster players ahead of their breakouts.

The final push of the fantasy regular season is upon us and the remaining contenders are vying for edges. Prime waiver candidates in conventional leagues are long-gone by this point, especially for those in the deep end. The goal, now, is to position for leverage behind fragile backfields or unheralded WRs that can buoy a PPR flex spot with the unsettling Week 14 bye ahead. The Fliers Catalogue gained two strong options with under 11 percent rostership that have paths to your starting roster through the remainder of the fantasy season.

The Fliers Catalogue

Several promoted players look to slide-off the gold tier by next week as Kenneth Gainwell reaches his bye, Jeremy McNichols is currently on bye and Rex Burkhead needs to follow-up his Week 11 performance with tangible production. This should also be a warning for DeeJay Dallas, who can’t stay healthy or seem to claim a backfield devoid of talented options. Not that the Seattle backfield is a prized situation at the moment.
A final note is the return of Gabriel Davis to flier relevance as a dynasty stash. Buffalo needs another alternative to add dimension to the offense down the stretch, as they have not adapted well to the recent pass defense schemes that have them stagnant.

Week 13 Additions

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gotten an update on the injury to Giovani Bernard.
Giovani Bernard, courtesy of Harry How/Getty Images.

Giovani Bernard RB Tampa Bay (Six percent, Yahoo!)
As Leonard Fournette has dominated the headlines in the backfield for Tampa Bay, Bernard remains in the background as the passing-downs back with the most organizational trust. While Ronald Jones appears to be the next in line for significant work behind Fournette, a Brady-led offense with the amount of receiving options available doesn’t necessarily need a run-first back to operate smoothly. Bernard will gain a modicum of targets regardless, but there is an instance where a Fournette-less Buccaneers team opts-out of the ground game with a significant pass-to-rush ratio adjustment. This would allow Bernard a larger snap-share as well as create optimal rushing opportunities as the defense makes adjustments.

Josh Reynolds, courtesy of Detroit Lions.

Josh Reynolds WR Detroit (Four percent, Yahoo!)
Reynolds is enticing from the standpoint of having rapport with Jared Goff from shared experiences with the Rams. The opposing pressure is focused on TJ Hockenson and the backfield pair of D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams, leaving Reynolds room to maneuver in the secondary. As Detroit has little hope of winning shootouts, their intentionally slow-pace will run counter to the target share we demand as fantasy managers. This should, however, be mitigated by the fact that Detroit will being playing much of their remaining schedule with neutral to negative game scripts, requiring them to force some passing tempo.

Jason Astarita (@AstaritaJason) is a professional in the sports gambling industry. He has an MS in Psychology (Industrial and Organizational) from Southern New Hampshire University and completed his undergraduate degree in Psychology at the University of San Diego. His passion for fantasy sports is over a decade old, but has recently been theorizing on the novel format of Superflex Best Ball in the Dynasty Fantasy Football arena. Ever interested in draft theory and roster construction, feel free to reach out on twitter with any insights or queries! #superbestball

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