2021 Quarterback Rankings

Ricky Valero on Twitter: "Coming to the Drive-In Podcast Network very soon. Happy  Hour with Matthew Fox and myself. From rankings to matchups to DFS plays to  start/sit, Fox and I will

The 2021 NFL Season is just around the corner, it’s time to look at how we think players will do in the upcoming season. While much of the off-season is dominated by dynasty trades, start ups and rookie drafts, the last bit is re-draft season. In re-draft season, it’s the present year that matters most.

This season Ricky Valero and I will be offering season rankings and rankings for QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs each week. You can access our rankings here and be sure to catch our discussions each week on the Happy Hour Podcast on Fridays. Our debut episode, here, saw us focused on quarterbacks. You can hear our thoughts on that episode, but below I’ve offered some broad thoughts on my Top 36.

Quarterback is incredibly deep; with a number of guys I have in the QB2 range (13-24) that could make a leap. It’s also in flux. We don’t know what will happen with Deshaun Watson (I’m leaning toward him playing today but ask me tomorrow) and now Carson Wentz has a foot injury that will, at a minimum, force him out of training camp and pre-season. But here’s where my thoughts on the QBs stand at this moment.

Top 5

  • 1. Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
  • 2. Dak Prescott, Cowboys
  • 3. Kyler Murray, Cardinals
  • 4. Josh Allen, Bills
  • 5. Lamar Jackson, Ravens

About: I could see making a case for any of these five to finish as QB1. I’m bullish on Dak and the Cowboys, but I think Mahomes feels like the safest choice at No. 1. I’m interested to see if Murray can take a big step forward this year.

QB1s

  • 6. Aaron Rodgers, Packers
  • 7. Justin Herbert, Chargers
  • 8. Russell Wilson, Seahawks
  • 9. Ryan Tannehill, Titans
  • 10. Matthew Stafford, Rams
  • 11. Deshaun Watson, Texans
  • 12. Tom Brady, Buccaneers

About: If you followed my QB rankings from earlier this month, you know I’ve made some changes. I still love Herbert, but I slid him back to seven. I still think he’s great, but I may have had my Herbert goggles on. I also dropped Tannehill a bit as I’m worried he can’t sustain the seven rushing TDs that propped up his value. And, as noted, I put Watson back in the mix, dropping him as a low-end QB1 at this point.

Fringe QB1s

  • 13. Baker Mayfield, Browns
  • 14. Joe Burrow, Bengals
  • 15. Kirk Cousins, Vikings
  • 16. Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars
  • 17. Jalen Hurts, Eagles

About: I think Baker is in for a heck of a year, and Burrow, too. They could easily jump into low-end QB1 territory for me. Cousins was QB11 last year, but it feels like this is more of the right range. Lawrence has all the tools, but I’m not as bullish on the Jaguars’ offense. Finally, we see Hurts, who I’ve mentioned I don’t believe in. We’ve seen middling QBs put up fantasy numbers before, so I can’t argue with the logic. He also has rushing to help. Some have him in QB1 range, I initially had him at QB23 but I’ve come up. This is about as far as I can move.

QB2:

  • 18. Derek Carr, Raiders
  • 19. Matt Ryan, Falcons
  • 20. Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins
  • 21. Sam Darnold, Panthers
  • 22. Carson Wentz, Colts
  • 23. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Washington
  • 24. Ben Roehtlisberger, Steelers

About: These are all guys that should provide solid returns when it comes to Superflex leagues. Carr was QB13 in 2020, and I like his steady value a lot, but I came down a little on him due to not likely having the ceiling. Ryan is hurt by the loss of Julio Jones, while Tua, Darnold and Wentz are all still learning. If Wentz misses significant time, he’ll be off the QB2 list entirely. I am also leery about him missing pre-season. Finally, we get the veterans in Fitzpatrick and Roethlisberger who don’t offer rushing but should be decent QBs with good weapons.

QB3:

  • 25. Drew Lock, Broncos
  • 26. Zach Wilson, Jets
  • 27. Daniel Jones, Giants
  • 28. Justin Fields, Bears
  • 29. Jimmy Garoppolo, 49ers
  • 30. Jared Goff, Lions
  • 31. Jameis Winston, Buccaneers
  • 32. Cam Newton, Patriots
  • 33. Mac Jones, Patriots
  • 34. Taysom Hill, Buccaneers
  • 35. Andy Dalton, Bears
  • 36. Trey Lance, 49ers

About: Here we come to guys I’m not sold on that still have potential. Given the rise of Superflex, all these will be rostered and you’ll play them at some point. This includes veterans in bad situations (Goff), question marks (Lock, Jones), time shares (Winston, Hill, Dalton, Fields, Newton, Jones) and a rookie learning on the job (Wilson). There is some potential here, but I’m less set they’re consistent value in 2021.

Matthew Fox is a graduate of the Radio, Television and Film program at Biola University, and a giant nerd. He spends his free time watching movies, TV, and obsessing about football. He is a member of the FSWA. You can find him @knighthawk7734 on Twitter and as co-host of the Fantasy Football Roundtable Podcast.

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