Post Draft Dynasty Ranks, QB

Beginning of end for Dallas Cowboys, Dak Prescott if no deal by deadline

The 2021 NFL Draft is about a month in our rearview, we’ve had rookie camps and OTAs are in full swing. It’s also rookie draft season for dynasty players as we march toward the 2021 NFL Season. It seemed a good time to revisit my dynasty rankings, now updated to reflect the draft that took place to close out April. Today, I’m beginning with my Top 32 Quarterbacks.

1. Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs. The top spot remains the same, it’s Mahomes.

2. Josh Allen, Bills. Allen had an incredible 2020 and it seems like wheels up moving forward.

3. Dak Prescott, Cowboys. Dak looks healthy and poised to pick up right where he left off.

4. Kyler Murray, Cardinals. Murray is a great dual threat, and they added some weapons for him this off-season.

5. Justin Herbert, Chargers. Herbert had an incredible rookie season and I can’t wait to see what he does moving forward.

6. Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars. Lawrence was the top pick in the draft for a reason. He’s a great talent that should thrive in the NFL.

7. Russell Wilson, Seahawks. Russ still has plenty of weapons and has been a solid Top 10 performer for years.

8. Lamar Jackson, Ravens. Jackson has Top 5 upside, easily. But his play style leaves him exposed to injury and I need to see him step up as a passer.

9. Joe Burrow, Bengals. Burrow was on track to have a great first season before he got injured. I like him long-term, but the Bengals need to do a better job protecting him.

10. Matthew Stafford, Rams. Stafford has long been an under-rated passer, and I like his potential with the Rams.

11. Deshaun Watson, Texans. Watson has talent to be higher, but his situation on the field with a poor Texans team and off the field with his legal troubles has me hedging my bets.

12. Aaron Rodgers, Packers. Rodgers is 37 and his career is suddenly in flux. Will he be a Packer? Will he be a Bronco? Will he quit to host Jeopardy? All those are in play, but he’s the reigning MVP for a reason.

13. Baker Mayfield, Browns. Baker is a good talent and a good quarterback, but he’s on a run-heavy team.

Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields is all business at rookie minicamp

14. Justin Fields, Bears. I love Fields’ talent and upside, and I think sooner or later we’ll see him thrive for the Bears.

15. Carson Wentz, Colts. Wentz is due for a bounce back in Indy, but the Colts figure to lean on the running game.

16. Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins. I like Tua’s talent, and the Dolphins have done a good job of building around him. He is poised to take a step forward in 2021.

17. Trey Lance, 49ers. Lance wasn’t my favorite prospect but seeing that Kyle Shanahan felt that good moving up to take him is compelling. He might not play in 2021, but he has upside in that team and system.

18. Ryan Tannehill, Titans. Tannehill is chronically under-rated. He was QB7 in 2020 and is in a great spot with the Titans. But, for dynasty purposes, this feels like the right spot.

19. Zach Wilson, Jets. Wilson is the future for the Jets now, and we’ll see how he responds with a young team that’s in the midst of building.

20. Matt Ryan, Falcons. The Falcons are likely to lose Julio Jones and Ryan isn’t getting any younger. But the Falcons didn’t take a QB, and Ryan has been a reliably steady performer who still has Calvin Ridley and Kyle Pitts.

Exclusive: Derek Carr, still the Raiders QB, is done being politically  correct – The Athletic

21. Derek Carr, Raiders. Carr is another under-rated player who puts up numbers. The Raiders seem to like him, and I think he’s a good value in dynasty this off-season.

22. Jalen Hurts, Eagles. He’s a young QB with potential, but I’m not sold. I don’t think the Eagles are quite sold yet, either.

23. Sam Darnold, Panthers. Hopefully a change of scenery this off-season will help Darnold reach his potential.

24. Mac Jones, Patriots. He doesn’t have the same ceiling as the quarterbacks that went before him in the draft, but he could have a safer floor.

25. Jared Goff, Lions. Goff seems to be trending in the wrong direction, but he has a chance to find himself again in Detroit.

26. Daniel Jones, Giants. This is a make-or-break year for Jones. The Giants gave him a great cadre of weapons, but can he prove it on the field?

27. Kirk Cousins, Vikings. Cousins is a solid QB2 with some upside. He’s likely wedded to Minnesota for at least two more years but drafting Kellen Mond makes me think the Vikings are already looking toward the future.

28. Tom Brady, Buccaneers. This position isn’t about his talent or performance, but the fact he’s 43-years-old and, while he looks immortal, we don’t know how many years he has left.

29. Drew Lock, Broncos. You guessed it, we’re in the range or boom-or-bust. I am not ready to quit on Lock, but this year will define his NFL career.

Aaron Rodgers: Could Jordan Love be Green Bay Packers' new starting QB? -  Deseret News

30. Jordan Love, Packers. Suddenly, the Love era doesn’t look as far off as it once did. Even if Rodgers is in Green Bay in 2021, it seems like the end of his marriage with the Packers draws close.

31. Kellen Mond, Vikings. This was an intriguing pick in the draft. If I’m at the end of Superflex drafts looking for a QB to hold, Mond is the guy I’m taking.

32. Jameis Winston, Buccaneers. Will Winston be the guy in New Orleans? Will he be there in 2022? All those are up in the air, but if the answer is yes, he has the talent to be a great asset in fantasy.

Matthew Fox is a graduate of the Radio, Television and Film program at Biola University, and a giant nerd. He spends his free time watching movies, TV, and obsessing about football. He is a member of the FSWA. You can find him @knighthawk7734 on Twitter and as co-host of the Fantasy Football Roundtable Podcast.

3 thoughts on “Post Draft Dynasty Ranks, QB

  1. Hey Matt, thanks for the rankings and enjoyed your various takes! What was the toughest decision you had between two QBs during this process? Also, how many 1st Rd viable QBs would you consider in superflex startups?

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    1. Hey Jason, thanks for the comment. I think the toughest for me to rank, overall, is Lamar Jackson. He has a lot of high scoring potential, and we’ve seen it before, but I also have questions about his play style and injury potential. The other toughest was Deshaun Watson because he has Top 5 talent but this off-the-field situation doesn’t seem to be going away. In terms of Superflex, assuming 12 teams, I’d say at least Mahomes, Allen, Dak, Kyler and Herbert are coming off the board. It’s a safe bet that Trevor Lawrence and Lamar Jackson may come off, too. I, personally, still believe in Russell Wilson, but I’ve seen him slide down. You also might get some true believers going after Justin Fields/Trey Lance late first or early second. In the last Superflex Start up I did, the first round saw seven QBs go (Mahomes, Dak, Josh Allen, Herbert, Kyler, Lawrence, Lamar) plus 5 RBs (McCaffrey, Saquon, Jonathan Taylor, Alvin Kamara, Dalvin Cook).

      Liked by 1 person

      1. Those are definitely two polarizing players for the reasons specified! I genuinely hate that I see Lamar Jackson and have a hard time comping him to players other than RG3, Vick, or Kordell Stewart, which just seems awfully narrow. I’m excited that they added Bateman and Watkins though, perhaps this allows the passing offense to be more than 2 dimensions.

        Thanks for the 1st Rd thoughts! I don’t have a startup planned for this season, but it’s still necessary to have a good feel for the market! I like your position on the rookies and Russell; feels like there is plenty of wiggle room for draft style and strategy when the double digit picks come on the clock.

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