FINAL Oscar Predictions: Visual Effects

FINAL Oscar Predictions: Visual Effects

ReferenceBFCA (Broadcast Film Critics Association) – VES (Visual Effects Society)

  • 1 – Tenet (Warner Bros) – BAFTABFCA, VES – Andrew Jackson, David Lee, Andrew Lockley and Scott Fisher
  • 2 – The Midnight Sky (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, VES – Matthew Kasmir, Christopher Lawrence, Max Solomon and David Watkins
  • 3 – The One and Only Ivan (Walt Disney Pictures) – BAFTA, VES – Ivan Nick Davis, Greg Fisher, Ben Jones and Santiago Colomo Martinez
  • 4 – Mulan (Disney+) – BAFTA, BFCA, VES – Sean Faden, Anders Langlands, Seth Maury and Steve Ingram
  • 5 – Love and Monsters (Paramount Pictures) – Matt Sloan, Genevieve Camilleri, Matt Everitt and Brian Cox

*Winners in bold.

It’s subtle VFX vs. high-use VFX, whatcha gonna do? Well, I think the winner is fairly predictable to be honest.

The Academy have shown with winners such as ‘Ex Machina’, ‘First Man’ and ‘1917’ that they are bored of the blockbuster visual effects movie, and they now much rather a film to have great, seamless visual effects, and boy does ‘Tenet’ fit this criteria. ‘The Midnight Sky’ does not, and though it does have the VES award showing it is strong competition, it’s not enough to change my number 1 prediction.

The decision was made to not put ‘Tenet’ on the Academy’s online screening room (seems like Nolan doesn’t like anything that ain’t the movie theatre), but I’m not sure if this will effect much. ‘Tenet’ scored a nomination in this category and ‘Production Design’, meaning members have still seen ‘Tenet’ and are aware of the work on show. The Academy would of most likely have also been sent videos explaining how the VFX were used in the movie as a way of campaigning, so this should help win over some voters who haven’t seen ‘Tenet’. It also scored Visual Effects at the BAFTA’s and Critics Choice Awards, both important precursors to score if you want hope of winning the Oscar. If ‘Tenet’ does win this category, it will be a third VFX win for a Nolan flick, the first two being 2010’s ‘Inception’ and 2014’s ‘Interstellar’.

Before you predict ‘The Midnight Sky’ or ‘Tenet’ for the Oscar, I’d like to leave you all with something. Remember when ‘Ex Machina’ won this award with no precursors and had 62/1 odds?

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