BAFTA Film Awards Predictions 2021

BAFTA Film Awards Predictions 2021

Just like the previous year we’ve had, awards season has been nuts!

We’re still completely unsure on who is winning actress and supporting actress, we live in a world where ‘Sound of Metal’, ‘The Father’ and ‘Judas and the Black Messiah’ are all Best Picture nominees, resisting the bait of ‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’ and ‘One Night in Miami’. Then, to make things even more crazy, the BAFTA implemented a new system for the acting and directing categories where a jury voted, and they went with a tone of unheard movies to nominate (not that this is a bad thing, it’s actually pretty good for the chances for these movies to be seen). But, I’ve got to look at what we do have and make my predictions with best a knowledge I have, so, hear are my final BAFTA Film Awards Predictions, 2021.

Best Picture

  • 1 – Nomadland (Searchlight)
  • 2 – Promising Young Woman (Focus Feature)
  • 3 – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
  • 4 – The Father (Sony Pictures Classic)
  • 5 – The Mauritanian (STXfilms)

I’d say this is ‘Nomadland’s’ to lose. It’s got EVERYTHING it needs, the only place it hasn’t won is WGA, where it wasn’t eligible, and SAG Ensemble, where it wasn’t nominated. Not only that, BAFTA have proven with wins such as ‘Roma’ for Best Picture that they are much more high brow than the Oscars and PGA’s, who both went with ‘Green Book’ that particular year. However, I can see other routes for the BAFTA’s to take. ‘Promising Young Woman’ is ‘Nomadland’s’ big bad wolf and could take the award. PYW, for controversial reasons I won’t go into, has a story which is extremely prevalent to what is going on in the UK today. Moreover, the BAFTA’s do like to show off that they have an awards front runner which is British, take the years ‘The King’s Speech’ and ‘1917’ were showered in awards by them. I’m still predicting ‘Nomadland’ as I think it has the better chances, but I do have PYW in my peripheral vision.

‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’ seems sensible to have dead in the middle as it is an awards front runner and you can’t really ignore that. However, with only two other nominations, it would be bizarre if it did win. Possible, but unlikely.

If you asked me two months ago where I stood with ‘The Father’ and its Best Picture chances at the BAFTA’s, I would’ve said it’s pretty high. However, with its shocking Best Picture snubs at the PGA’s and Critics Choice Awards, that’s completely died down and I’m just grateful it got nominated in the end.

I don’t even know what to say about ‘The Mauritanian’ except it just isn’t happening, I’m shocked it even got nominated.

Best Director

  • 1 – Chloé Zhao (Nomadland)
  • 2 – Minari (Lee Isaac Chung)
  • 3 – Thomas Vinterberg (Another Round)
  • 4 – Sarah Gavron (Rocks)
  • 5 –  Jasmila Žbanić (Quo Vadis, Aida?)
  • 6 – Shannon Murphy (Babyteeth)

Chloé Zhao, Chloé Zhao… and Chloé Zhao. The only POSSIBLE upset for the Oscars would be David Fincher but he isn’t even nominated here, so it’s Chloé Zhao’s. I literally can’t see another scenario.

Best Actress

  • 1 – Bukky Bakray (Rocks)
  • 2 – Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)
  • 3 – Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
  • 4 – Alfre Woodard (Clemency)
  • 5 – Radha Blank (The Forty-Year-Old Version)
  • 6 – Wunmi Mosaku (His House)

I honestly think it’s a really tight three way race, and I know many will disagree with my number one for the win, but hear me out.

There’s a good incentive for all three of these women to win: Bukky Bakray, newcomer who has stolen the hearts of the people; Vanessa Kirby, a harrowing performance from a well known, loved Brit; Frances McDormand, acting legend in an awards front runner. I won’t be shocked if any of these women win, but I’m giving the edge to Bukky Bakray. I’m putting a lot of weight on them paying attention to the campaign, because if they do I think their hearts will be captured by Bakray’s intelligence and view on life, and her performance will then just be a nice push to a win.

Best Actor

  • 1 – Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
  • 2 – Anthony Hopkins (The Father)
  • 3 – Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)
  • 4 – Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)
  • 5 – Tahar Rahim (The Mauritanian)
  • 6 – Adarsh Gourav (The White Tiger)

I don’t think awards shows are going to want to pass up on making this Boseman’s year. Hopkins is the big bad wolf to Boseman as ‘The Father’ is surging and thanks to festivals and screeners, many more are seeing it in the UK and people are LOVING it and Hopkins performance. But this isn’t enough for me to bet against Boseman. Riz Ahmed has a sliver of a chance as he is fantastic in ‘Sound of Metal’ and he is a fellow Brit, but it’s doubtful.

Best Supporting Actress

  • 1 – Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)
  • 2 – Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)
  • 3 – Kosar Ali (Rocks)
  • 4 – Dominique Fishback (Judas and the Black Messiah)
  • 5 – Niamh Algar (Calm with Horses)
  • 6 – Ashley Madekwe (County Lines)

Yuh-Jung Youn winning the Screen Actors Guilds was enough to push me over the line of predicting her for BAFTA and Oscars. Even with the ‘Parasite’ SAG Ensemble win last year, the Screen Actors Guild awards usually turn their backs to indie films, especially indie films in a foreign language, so her winning was HUGE. However, ‘Borat Subsequent Moviefilm’ is being taken seriously as a genuine film and not another throw away comedy, and Bakalova is being praised in particular for her performance, so she has a shot, too.

Kosar Ali could be a big upset as she does have the British Independent Film Award, but it’s unlikely.

Best Supporting Actor

  • 1 – Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)
  • 2 – Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)
  • 3 – Leslie Odom, Jr. (One Night in Miami)
  • 4 – Alan Kim (Minari)
  • 5 – Barry Keoghan (Calm with Horses)
  • 6 – Clarke Peters (Da 5 Bloods)

Yeah, this is Daniel Kaluuya’s to lose. Even if he was in lead I’d say he has a possibility of winning, but being in supporting just makes it a lock. NOT ONLY THAT, but he is a fellow Brit and won the EE Rising Star award a couple of years ago, so BAFTA’s love him already, he is just winning, I don’t know how many more ways I can say this.

Also, shout out to BAFTA’s for nominating Alan Kim and Clarke Peters where no one else did.

Best Original Screenplay

  • 1 – Promising Young Woman
  • 2 – The Trial of the Chicago 7
  • 3 – Rocks
  • 4 – Another Round
  • 5 – Mank

I’m fairly sure PYW is winning BAFTA for Original Screenplay. If ‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’ was sweeping like we thought it once would, I’d have way more confidence in it, but it isn’t and I think PYW has a better shot at winning Best Picture here so I think it has the better chance at winning here. I’m going off Best Picture on what to predict for Adapted Screenplay as neither Aaron Sorkin or Emerald Fennell are nominated in Director so I can’t go off that to see who has more love. I’m not using the Golden Globes as help for the BAFTA’s in screenplay as they’ve been so off point over the past few years.

The argument could be raised ‘Rocks’ has a chance as it’s a well written screenplay and not only that, they had to write around the fact new coming children will be starring, but the win is doubtful.

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • 1 – The Father
  • 2 – Nomadland
  • 3 – The Mauritanian
  • 4 – The White Tiger
  • 5 – The Dig

‘Nomadland’ isn’t really a screenplay film, let’s be honest, and that’s fine! ‘Nomadland’ isn’t the type of film that requires a great screenplay, it’s more of a directors film. ‘The Father’ on the other hand requires great writing. Not only that, it’s much more of a screenplay-ey film and much harder to write, as it’s from the perspective of a man with dementia. I think the BAFTA’s will see this and appreciate this. ‘The Father’ is also British which will make it all the easier for voters to tick that box.

It’s so annoying we don’t have either film nominated for WGA as whatever won that would make it easier to predict here and the Oscars. The Critics Choice went with ‘Nomadland’ as it’s a film they’d obviously love.

It’s at this point ladies and gents I give your reading eyes a rest and leave you with my other predictions, but if you want to challenge me on any of my predictions, please don’t hesitate to get in touch with me on Twitter @007Guy45.

Best Cinematography

  • 1 – Nomadland
  • 2 – Mank
  • 3 – Judas and the Black Messiah
  • 4 – News of the World
  • 5 – The Mauritanian

Best Costume Design

  • 1 – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  • 2 – Emma.
  • 3 – Mank
  • 4 – Ammonite
  • 5 – The Dig

Best Film Editing

  • 1 – The Trial of the Chicago 7
  • 2 – The Father
  • 3 – Sound of Metal
  • 4 – Promising Young Woman
  • 5 – Nomadland

Best Makeup and Hair

  • 1 – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  • 2 – Hillbilly Elegy
  • 3 – Pinocchio
  • 4 – Mank
  • 5 – The Dig

Best Production Design

  • 1 – Mank
  • 2 – The Father
  • 3 – News of the World
  • 4 – The Dig
  • 5 – Rebecca

Best Score

  • 1 – Soul
  • 2 – Mank
  • 3 – Minari
  • 4 – Promising Young Woman
  • 5 – News of the World

Best Sound

  • 1 – Sound of Metal
  • 2 – News of the World
  • 3 – Soul
  • 4 – Nomadland
  • 5 – Greyhound

Best Visual Effects

  • 1 – The Midnight Sky
  • 2 – Tenet
  • 3 – Mulan
  • 4 – The One and Only Ivan
  • 5 – Greyhound

Best Casting

  • 1 – Minari
  • 2 – Judas and the Black Messiah
  • 3 – Rocks
  • 4 – Promising Young Woman
  • 5 – Calm with Horses

Best Animated Feature

  • 1 – Soul
  • 2 – Wolfwalkers
  • 3 – Onward

Best Documentary Feature

  • 1 – My Octopus Teacher
  • 2 – Collective
  • 3 – David Attenborough: A Life on Our Planet
  • 4 – The Social Dilemma
  • 5 – The Dissident

Best Foreign Film

  • 1 – Another Round
  • 2 – Minari
  • 3 – Quo Vadis, Aida?
  • 4 – Les Miserables
  • 5 – Dear Comrades!

Outstanding Debut by a British Writer, Director Or Producer

  • 1 – Rocks – Theresa Ikoko, Claire Wilson (Writers)
  • 2 – Saint Maud – Rose Glass (Writer/Director), Oliver Kassman (Producer)
  • 3 – His House – Remi Weekes (Writer/Director)
  • 4 – Limbo –  Ben Sharrock (Writer/Director), Irune Gurtubai (Producer)
  • 5 – Moffie – Jack Sidey (Writer/Producer)

Best British Film

  • 1 – Promising Young Woman
  • 2 – The Father
  • 3 – Rocks
  • 4 – The Mauritanian
  • 5 – Saint Maud
  • 6 – Calm with Horses
  • 7 – His House
  • 8 – The Dig
  • 9 – Limbo
  • 10 – Mogul Mowgli

EE Rising Star Award

  • 1 – Bukky Bakray
  • 2 – Kingsley Ben-Adir
  • 3 – Morfydd Clark
  • 4 – Conrad Khan
  • 5 – Sope Dìrísù

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