2020 Preview: Buffalo Bills


Buffalo Bills: 3 reasons Josh Allen will make the Pro Bowl in 2020

The 2020 NFL Season is nearly upon us, and in anticipation of the new season we’ll be previewing the action team-by-team, using the draft order from last season. The previews will kick off with the Bengals and run right through the reigning champion Chiefs. Come back each day to check out your favorite team. All ADP and Rankings reflect PPR scoring. 2020 Projections are based on a 12-team league (i.e. WR1 (Top 12), WR2 (13-24), WR3 (25-36)).

            The Bills had a stout 2019 campaign. Though there were questions coming into the season, the Bills started off strong, sophomore quarterback Josh Allen made strides on the field and the team quickly jumped out to a 9-3 record. Though the Bills finished 1-3 in their last four games, it was a 10-6 season that resulted in a playoff berth as a Wild Card.

            In the playoffs the Bills traveled to face the Houston Texans and their magic faded. The team lost, ending its 2019 campaign. However, with a much different AFC East and a few off-season improvements the Bills could be in position to make a deeper run in 2020.

Off-Season Changes

            The Bills saw a few players move on, most notably Frank Gore. The veteran running back headed to the division rival Jets this off-season. However, the biggest off-season move came when the Bills traded for Vikings’ receiver Stefon Diggs. Diggs caught 365 passes for 4,623 yards and 30 TDs in five seasons with the Vikings. He figures to become the Bills’ WR1 and gives Allen a big weapon in the passing game.

            In the draft, the Bills took Zack Moss, running back out of Utah, in the third round. Moss rushed for more than 1,000 yards in each of his last three seasons, including 1,416 yards and 15 TDs as a senior. He figures to join Devin Singletary in leading the rushing attack. The Bills also grabbed receivers Gabriel Davis (Fourth Round) and Isaiah Hodgins (Sixth Round) as well as quarterback Jake Fromm (Fifth Round) to add offensive depth.

Fantasy Impact

            Allen has been a stout fantasy contributor the past two years. Allen threw for 3,089 yards and 20 TDs in 2019, adding 510 rushing yards and nine more TDs. That was good enough to be QB6 in 2019, and I think he’s a QB1 in 2020, too. In the backfield, the Bills figure to see a split between Moss and Singletary, who added 775 yards and two TDs along with 29 receptions for 194 yards in 2019. Both backs will have their upside limited by Allen, who is the Bills’ best goalline rushing option. I see Singletary as a high-end RB3 with some RB2 upside, while Moss is more of an RB4 this season. In a low-volume passing offense with three strong receivers and a good young TE, I don’t see the backs being a big part of the passing game.

            Among receivers, Diggs leads the pack but returning veterans John Brown and Cole Beasley figure to be involved, too. Brown led the team with 72 receptions for 1,060 and six TDs, while Beasley caught 67 passes for 778 yards and six TDs. I think Diggs is a low-end WR2, while Brown and Beasley will be WR4s. Someone might finish lower than that mark, but it’s hard to say for sure at this point. The Bills also have second year man Dawson Knox at TE. I like his talent, but I don’t think there’s enough targets for him to rise above TE3.

Prediction

            The Bills were a surprisingly strong contender in 2019, and I think things will only get better in 2020. The team has a strong defense and added Diggs and Moss to its offensive core. Allen grew as a quarterback in 2019, and if he continues on that path this offense will continue to be more dynamic. With the changes in New England, the Bills have a golden opportunity and I think they’ll be the AFC East Champions this season.

Matthew Fox is a graduate of the Radio, Television and Film program at Biola University, and a giant nerd. He spends his free time watching movies, TV, and obsessing about football. You can find him @knighthawk7734 on Twitter and as co-host of the Fantasy Football Roundtable Podcast, a proud member of the Drive-In Podcast Network.

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