To start Week 17, the NFL is offering a triple-header of Thursday games for Christmas. That means if you’re competing for a fantasy championship, you really have to watch the games that are being played. Below is a preview of the three Christmas games, and my picks for the week.

Dallas Cowboys (6-8-1) at Washington Commanders (4-11)

This probably looked like a great game on the schedule in August. Now, it’s two teams that are out of the running. The Cowboys made a run, but recent futility has ended it all. The Commanders, meanwhile, have been beaten up and had a lost season.

For the Cowboys, Dak Prescott is a low-end QB1. I like Javonte Williams in the backfield as an RB2, while the passing game has some great options. I like George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb as WR2s with upside. One will likely go off, maybe even both, but it’s hard to count on a Top 12 day from either of them as a certainty. After a hot start, Jake Ferguson has cooled a bit. He’s a TE2 with upside.

For the Commanders, Josh Johnson is starting. He’s a low-end QB2. In Championship Week, you probably have better options, but he should be OK. The backfield is a mess, but I like Chris Rodriguez the best. He’s a flex option. In the passing game, I like Terry McLaurin as a WR2. It’s hard to tell what to make of Deebo Samuel. He’s a flex option for me.

Detroit Lions (8-7) at Minnesota Vikings (7-8)

This is another game that looked awesome a few months ago. Now, the Vikings are out of it, with J.J. McCarthy hurt again and out. The Lions, meanwhile, are barely hanging on to playoff hopes, and can ill-afford another divisional loss.

For the Lions, Jared Goff is a QB2. In the backfield, Jahmyr Gibbs is an RB1, but David Montgomery is a big question. He’s a flex option with some upside. In the passing game, I like Amon-Ra St. Brown as a WR1. I like Jameson Williams as a WR3 with some upside.

For the Vikings, Max Brosmer will start. He’s a QB3 for me. In the backfield, Aaron Jones is the one I prefer, but he’s just an average flex option. In the passing game, Justin Jefferson has been held back by some of the passing game issues. He’s a WR2 with some volatility. Jordan Addison is a flex option and T.J. Hockenson is a TE2 with some upside.

Denver Broncos (12-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-9)

These teams have gone in opposite directions since their first meeting. The Broncos are tied for the best record in the NFL and have a shot at the No. 1 seed in the AFC if they win. The Chiefs are out of it and on their third quarterback.

For the Broncos, Bo Nix is a QB2 with some upside. In the backfield, I like R.J. Harvey to lead the way. He’s a solid RB2 option. In the passing game, Courtland Sutton is a WR2 and the best play. Troy Franklin is a WR3 with upside and Marvin Mims is a boom-or-bust flex option. Evan Engram is a low-end TE2 option.

For the Chiefs, with Chris Oladokun at quarterback and a lot of players on IR, it’s not looking pretty. I’m not playing a Chiefs’ quarterback or running back. Travis Kelce is a TE2 with upside and Marquise Brown is a flex option at receiver, while Xavier Worthy is a WR3.

Now, on to the Week 17 picks.

NFL Picks, Week 17

Cowboys Over Commanders
Lions Over Vikings
Broncos Over Chiefs
Texans Over Chargers
Packers Over Ravens
Bengals Over Cardinals
Panthers Over Seahawks
Steelers Over Browns
Saints Over Titans
Colts Over Jaguars
Buccaneers Over Dolphins
Patriots Over Jets
Giants Over Raiders
Bills Over Eagles
49ers Over Bears
Rams Over Falcons

Last Week: 9-7
Season: 153-86

Matthew Fox is a graduate of the Radio, Television and Film program at Biola University, and a giant nerd. He spends his free time watching movies, TV, and obsessing about football. He is a member of the FSWA. You can find him @knighthawk7734 on Twitter and as co-host of the Fantasy Football Roundtable Podcast.