Zero-RB Dynasty Superflex Top 100

The role of a zero-RB or structural approach is to mitigate and capitalize on the chaos present in an NFL season. The more chaos affects your league, the stronger and more valuable your roster will become. These rankings are designed with appropriate weight towards maintaining stability at the top of a draft and leveraging value and upside at lower cost as the draft progresses. Goals in team construction should revolve around rostering assets with the following mentalities: elite production potential (near the top at their position) and increasing or maintaining value.

Top 24

Ov. RankPos. RankPlayer
1QB1Patrick Mahomes
2QB2Josh Allen
3QB3Joe Burrow
4QB4Jalen Hurts
5QB5Justin Herbert
6QB6Trevor Lawrence
7WR1Justin Jefferson
8WR2Ja’Maar Chase
9QB7Justin Fields
10QB8Lamar Jackson
11QB9Kyler Murray
R112QB10Dak Prescott
R213WR3AJ Brown
1423RK PICK1.01
15QB11DeShaun Watson
16WR4CeeDee Lamb
17WR5Jaylen Waddle
1823RK PICK1.02
1923RK PICK1.03
20WR6Amon-Ra St. Brown
21WR7Garret Wilson
22WR8Chris Olave
23WR9Tee Higgins
24QB12Tua Tagovailoa


Roster players with the greatest combination of peak performance and high value floor to anchor your team.

Where Can it Backfire?

The assumption is that fantasy manager are able to identify players that fit the above performance and value parameters. Performance is the biggest threat! Garret Wilson, Chris Olave, Tua Tagovailoa and the rookie picks have yet to produce for the same sustained duration as others within the Top 24. The players have shown flashes of elite production but do not have the sustained proof at the professional level. An argument can be made that they do have a high degree of value insulation. High draft capital WRs with great year one production are unlikely to lose significant value until after year three, which gives them multiple opportunities to demonstrate sustained performance. Unlike Ja’Maar Chase and Justin Jefferson, who emerged as incredible WRs with elite production in year one, other recent historical examples include Jaylen Waddle (perhaps could have been included with Chase and Jefferson), DJ Moore, AJ Brown, CeeDee Lamb, DK Metcalf, Tee Higgins and Deebo Samuel, all of whom had strong values entering year two and continued to demonstrate high performance and solidify value by the end of year three. Counterpoints could include players such as Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, Brandon Aiyuk, Chase Claypool, Laviska Shenault and Elijah Moore. Sutton’s injury certainly played a significant factor, while the remaining players were not nearly as highly valued entering year two as the preceding list. Current players like Christian Watson, George Pickens and Jahan Dotson appear aligned with the secondary group above, not getting nearly the same appraisal but lingering in a range where their values can jump or plummet with relative ease.

New Orleans WR, Chris Olave. Photo sourced from Football Outsiders; courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.


25RB1Breece Hall
26RB2Jonathan Taylor
27WR10DK Metcalf
28WR11Tyreek Hill
29RB3Kenneth Walker
30WR12Stefon Diggs
31RB4Christian McCaffrey
32RB5Travis Etienne Jr
33TE1Kyle Pitts
34TE2Mark Andrews
35RB6Saquon Barkley
R33623RK PICK1.04
R43723RK PICK1.05
38QB13Trey Lance
39WR13Cooper Kupp
40WR14Davante Adams
41WR15DeVonta Smith
42WR16Drake London
43WR17Deebo Samuel
44WR18Christian Watson
45RB7Najee Harris
46RB8D’Andre Swift
47QB14Daniel Jones
4823RK PICK1.06


There is more uncertainty present, thus one should maximize scoring potential at the risk of age-related value degradation or fortify assets that have less overt paths to high upside but with a reasonable value floor. A third option is to combine both, bearing in mind the team structure through two rounds.

Where Can it Backfire?

This is likely the last opportunity to select an RB with overall RB1 potential (Austin Ekeler and even Josh Jacobs pose as caveats to this assumption). When passing on RB in this range you must continue to resist the possibility of taking them through the next several rounds (rookie picks notwithstanding) as this truly enters a void with limited upside opportunities and significant value depreciation. The dilemma is that there are combinations of elite and younger backs within this 25-48 range but they have added factors of uncertainty: age (Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley), health (all RBs) and capacity for volume (Travis Etienne, D’Andre Swift). These players are much more suitable to a roster when two to three foundational pieces are already in place, however, market pricing will likely push several of them into the Top 24 making them untenable at cost.

Green Bay WR, Christian Watson. Photo sourced from Lombardi Ave; courtesy of David Berding/Getty Images.


4923RK PICK1.07
50TE3Travis Kelce
51TE4TJ Hockenson
52WR19Chris Godwin
53WR20DJ Moore
54WR21Terry McLaurin
55RB9Javonte Williams
56RB10Austin Ekeler
57RB11Josh Jacobs
58RB12JK Dobbins
59WR22Treylon Burks
R560WR23Jameson Williams
R661WR24Michael Pittman Jr
62WR25Marquise Brown
63QB15Jared Goff
64QB16Kirk Cousins
65QB17Russell Wilson
66RB13Rhamondre Stevenson
6723RK PICK1.08
6823RK PICK1.09
69QB18Kenny Pickett
70QB19Derek Carr
71QB20Geno Smith
72WR26Diontae Johnson


Embrace uncertainty. There are few players remaining without significant questions to their production profile and future value. Use other managers “certainty” to your advantage when presented with the opportunity. The best accounting for uncertainty is to increase the amount of paths that could lead to certainty. WR and RB skill players no longer have realistic upside to the elite tiers within their position. This gives credence to even the mid-late rookie picks as great opportunities because elite production is still within their range of outcomes, albeit unlikely nonetheless.

Where Can it Backfire?

Travis Kelce continues to separate from the rest of the TEs with astounding production. The expectation of production decline with age is what holds Kelce in this range, but perhaps his mortality curve is a graceful outlier. Similarly, can Austin Ekeler continue to maintain health and production at his age? There are also good-not-great producers at WR (DJ Moore, Chris Godwin, Terry McLaurin and Marquise Brown) that leave you wondering of the likelihood for a Stefon Diggs career arc. Whether they reach that pinnacle or not, they seem to have several years of production left buoying their value as it dips steadily at an Amari Cooper-esque pace. The QBs available do not present with much upside but more stability and liquidity. The middling QB and rookie pick are the most liquid assets because the value is stable and the cost is not entirely prohibitive. While not drastically altering your win probability directly, loading up on QBs here may provide smoother transitions to alternative assets.


73QB21Matt Stafford
74TE5Dallas Goedert
75TE6George Kittle
76TE7Pat Freiermuth
77WR27Brandon Aiyuk
78WR28Jahan Dotson
79WR29George Pickens
8023RK PICK1.10
81RB14Dameon Pierce
82RB15Joe Mixon
83RB16Tony Pollard
R784RB17Nick Chubb
R88523RK PICK1.11
8623RK PICK1.12
8723RK PICK2.01
88QB22Aaron Rodgers
89WR30Jerry Jeudy
90WR31Christian Kirk
91WR32Rashod Bateman
92RB18Derrick Henry
93RB19James Cook
94RB20Cam Akers
95RB21Aaron Jones
96RB22AJ Dillon
R997QB23Desmond Ridder
98RB22Raschaad White
99RB23Isaiah Pacheco
100RB24David Montgomery


Grasping at straws of upside, continued QB value and the beginning of replaceable parts. No single pick will win your league, but rather your network of picks. Any advantages herein are available through thin margins and attachment is unwarranted. Prepare to transition players through this range quickly for alternative assets or clarify their role within your team structure. Rookie picks in this range are almost assuredly better options than players as they’re likely on par with the available talent but with a fresh clock.

Where Can it Succeed?

This is a range where there is finally room for upside to take hold. The cost of these picks are substantially cheaper and starting to become a glob of middling production, age and presumed talent. In these rounds you need to accept your strikeout rate is high, but the benefit of a big hit can more than make-up for two to three duds. Depending on the position, it may just be the perception of the result that you need to adjust. AJ Dillon appears stuck behind Aaron Jones yet again, however, the strength of Dillon as an investment is the standalone flex value in a committee and the price inflation if Jones were to miss time. George Pickens’ value is admittedly deflated in this rank and it is highly unlikely he would be available this late, but I believe this is the range where his polar outcomes (as discussed) are acceptably priced. In contrast, Desmond Ridder is priced well above market in this rank. Ridder has and admittedly difficult road ahead to be a successful NFL QB, but he has a talent set that leaves the door open for QB1 outcomes. The rookie season is already behind Ridder and the opening for maturation is taking hold. There is still opportunity for Atlanta to bring in another QB, but the path toward a starting role is currently unfettered. A swing and miss at the cost of an early second round rookie pick is worth the minor potential of breaching the QB1 group and the future valuation of a second round start-up pick.

Atlanta QB, Desmond Ridder. Photo sourced from Yahoo! Sports; courtesy of David Berding/Getty Images.

Three Starting Variations

RdPos RankPlayerRdPos RankPlayerRdPos RankPlayer
1QB2Josh Allen1WR1Justin Jefferson1QB9Kyler Murray
2WR7Garret Wilson2WR5Jaylen Waddle2QB10Dak Prescott
3WR10DK Metcalf3TE1Kyle Pitts323RK PICK1.04
423RK PICK1.064RB7Najee Harris423RK PICK1.05
523RK PICK1.075WR20DJ Moore5WR22Treylon Burks
6QB19Derek Carr6QB22Matt Stafford6WR25Marquise Brown
7WR28Jahan Dotson7WR26Diontae Johnson723RK PICK1.10
8QB23Desmond Ridder8QB22Aaron Rodgers823RK PICK1.11

Jason Astarita (@AstaritaJason) is a graduate of Southern New Hampshire University with an MS in Psychology (Industrial and Organizational), having completed his undergraduate degree in Psychology at the University of San Diego. His passion for fantasy sports is over a decade old, but has been focused on superflex dynasty and bestball/dynasty hybrids.


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